The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't - Nate Silver A solid read on predictions, probability, and statistics, presented in such a way that even an inferior at math (such as myself) can understand. Silver beats the reader over the head with the Bayes's approach, especially in the second half, which gets repetitive and old after a while, but the book stands up well despite that. The Signal and the Noise fully deserves all the attention it has been garnering the past couple months; definitely recommended.